Sharp Fuel Price Spike
The national average price per gallon of gasoline in the US has risen sharply, reaching $3.251. Just on Monday, this figure was $2.997. Overall, last week the cost of fuel increased by 26.8 cents, which is an increase of 9 percent. According to AAA, this is the largest price jump since the start of the full-scale war in Ukraine in March 2022.
Expect Further Price Increases
Experts expect this trend to continue. This is influenced by two key factors: the ongoing war in Iran and the transition of oil refineries to producing summer gasoline, which is more expensive. These circumstances create additional pressure on the energy market.
Trump Administration’s Position
US President Donald Trump stated that he has no concern regarding the rise in gasoline prices. In an interview with Reuters, he said:
if prices go up, they go up, but this war [in Iran] is far more important than a small increase in gasoline prices
. He also added that he has “no concerns” about this, but assured that prices will “drop very quickly when all this is over”.

Military Situation and Its Impact
However, the administration does not specify a timeline for the end of the conflict, and its statements regarding the war’s objectives sometimes contradict each other. This casts doubt on predictions about the temporary nature of the price increase. The situation is complicated by Iran’s threats to attack ships in the Strait of Hormuz and the oil infrastructure of neighboring countries. The US representation at Central Command stated:
The Iranian regime’s ability to influence US and regional partner forces is rapidly diminishing, while American combat power continues to grow
.
Iran’s Position and Prospects
Iran is taking a firm stance. Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi stated that the country has “long prepared for this war” and will make it so that it “turns into a quagmire for whoever decides to continue it”. He also expressed distrust in the possibility of dialogue with the Trump administration, emphasizing:
We have negotiated with this US administration twice. Both times we were attacked in the middle of negotiations
.
Consequences for Consumers
All this indicates that the conflict is far from over, and therefore, drivers should expect further price increases at gas stations. This is particularly unpleasant news against the backdrop of current gasoline prices being 14.4 cents higher than a year ago, while the cost of diesel fuel has risen by 51 cents per gallon.
Such price dynamics directly impact the budgets of millions of families and businesses, increasing logistics and transportation costs. The economic consequences could be significant, as rising energy costs traditionally stimulate inflation in other sectors. Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainty remains the main driver of market instability, and any forecasts for the future remain conditional.

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